Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.022692 0.024374 0.026125 0.028087 0.030226 0.032489 0.035069
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019941 0.022369 0.025030 0.028172 0.031791 0.035843 0.040741
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017830 0.020649 0.023857 0.027798 0.032533 0.038070 0.045081
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016154 0.019184 0.022739 0.027246 0.032849 0.039641 0.048580
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014958 0.018148 0.021987 0.026989 0.033396 0.041410 0.052324
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013956 0.017251 0.021304 0.026714 0.033829 0.042981 0.055838
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012966 0.016286 0.020451 0.026129 0.033770 0.043849 0.058405
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012445 0.015879 0.020271 0.026382 0.034799 0.046182 0.063089
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011871 0.015362 0.019902 0.026340 0.035394 0.047923 0.067021
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011488 0.015070 0.019807 0.026649 0.036471 0.050374 0.072121
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010945 0.014529 0.019339 0.026397 0.036716 0.051621 0.075479
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010501 0.014100 0.018996 0.026295 0.037156 0.053154 0.079352
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010000 0.013570 0.018493 0.025939 0.037206 0.054117 0.082420
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009662 0.013257 0.018279 0.025991 0.037866 0.056041 0.087164
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009232 0.012789 0.017819 0.025646 0.037887 0.056955 0.090289
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008787 0.012281 0.017275 0.025143 0.037625 0.057387 0.092609
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008449 0.011914 0.016921 0.024910 0.037770 0.058472 0.096112
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008129 0.011559 0.016570 0.024659 0.037866 0.059471 0.099518
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007755 0.011111 0.016056 0.024127 0.037466 0.059603 0.101352
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007598 0.010981 0.016024 0.024357 0.038339 0.061945 0.107410
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007383 0.010756 0.015833 0.024319 0.038750 0.063503 0.112101
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007256 0.010660 0.015838 0.024600 0.039717 0.066090 0.118959
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.007018 0.010383 0.015546 0.024370 0.039782 0.067053 0.122690